Fantasy baseball lineup recommendation and betting ideas for Friday

August 9, 2025 icemelon17@gmail.com

Try all of our beginning pitcher rankings and different lineup choice instruments right here that will help you make good fantasy baseball lineup selections. MLB betting ideas for every day’s slate of video games may even be added within the morning. MLB recreation odds are supplied by ESPN BET, and all fantasy recommendation is geared towards ESPN 10-team leagues with normal scoring.

Be aware: All info is correct as of the time of publication. For updates, together with what you might need missed from final night time, in addition to any breaking information that may impression right this moment’s MLB slate, be sure you try the newest fantasy baseball information.

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Pitchers to stream on Friday

Each 5 – 6 days, Edward Cabrera‘s stats since his gradual begin are cited, and so they preserve getting higher. Since Could 20, solely 5 pitchers logging no less than 60 frames have a decrease ERA than Cabrera’s 2.06 mark throughout that span. His 3.36 xFIP is 18th finest over that very same stretch, so whereas he is been a bit of fortunate, Cabrera has been a top-20 beginning pitcher for properly over two months. Subsequent up is a highway date with the Atlanta Braves and a below-average lineup lacking Ronald Acuna Jr. and Austin Riley.
Chase Burns’ final outing was on the 2025 MLB Speedway Basic, however he was restricted to 1 inning after the sport was suspended. He was off to a robust begin with two punchouts. Regardless of the abbreviated look, The Cincinnati Reds gave Burns common relaxation earlier than Friday night time’s highway affair with the Pittsburgh Pirates. The well-rested rookie faces the lineup averaging the fewest runs per recreation in MLB.
For the season, the Los Angeles Dodgers are averaging the second-most runs per recreation. Nonetheless, avoiding opposing pitchers for the previous month meant not going through the staff averaging the seventh-fewest runs per recreation within the league over that stretch. The defending World Collection champions can snap out of their rut at any time, so there may be threat. That stated, veteran Max Scherzer is discovering his groove with two straight high quality begins, that includes 15 strikeouts with no walks over 13 frames. On Friday’s pitching rankings, Scherzer checks in because the top-ranked streamer when the Toronto Blue Jays go to the Dodgers.

Pitchers to keep away from on Friday

Kodai Senga has sputtered because the break, posting a bloated 8.25 ERA and a pair of.00 WHIP in three begins, protecting solely 12 frames. He fanned a good 12 hitters however issued 11 walks whereas yielding 4 homers. A highway matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers is just not the perfect alternative to get again on observe. The Brewers are averaging the second-most runs per recreation within the league because the golf equipment returned to motion following the Midseason Basic.

At present’s finest matchups for pitchers

At present’s worst matchups for pitchers

Hitters to stream on Friday

At present’s finest matchups for hitters

At present’s worst matchups for hitters

Betting ideas

Greatest/worst pitcher/hitter matchups and betting projections are generated by THE BAT X, a system created by Derek Carty utilizing superior strategies like these utilized in MLB entrance places of work, accounting for a wide range of components together with participant expertise, ballparks, bullpens, climate, umpires, protection, catcher pitch-framing, and plenty extra. Betting projections for each participant, staff, and recreation could be discovered at EV Analytics.

Be aware: Anticipated Worth is a measure of how good a wager is, factoring the likelihood that it’ll win versus the percentages the e book is offering. If you happen to have been to wager $1.00 100 occasions on a wager with an Anticipated Worth of $25, you’ll win some and you’ll lose some, however in the long run you’ll anticipate to come back away with $25 in revenue in your $100 funding.

At present’s high HR prop bets

Lawrence Butler | OVER 0.5 HR (+500)
Projection: 20% likelihood of this wager hitting, with a $17.96 EV
One motive to wager this: Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks because the No. 8 subject in baseball for left-handed dwelling runs, per my projections.

Brent Rooker | OVER 0.5 HR (+325)
Projection: 27% likelihood of this wager hitting, with a $14.16 EV
One motive to wager this: By placing up a .359 anticipated wOBA (or xwOBA, a sophisticated metric created by my projections) this 12 months, Rooker is positioned within the ninetieth percentile for offensive means.

Coby Mayo | OVER 0.5 HR (+900)
Projection: 11% likelihood of this wager hitting, with a $9.10 EV
One motive to wager this: Oriole Park at Camden Yards additionally ranks because the No. 8 venue within the recreation for right-handed dwelling runs, per my projections.

At present’s high pitcher prop bets

Chase Burns | UNDER 7.5 Ok (-105)
Projection: 71% likelihood of this wager hitting, with a $40.39 EV
One motive to wager this: My projection system ranks PNC Park because the fifth-worst subject within the league for strikeouts.

Matthew Boyd | UNDER 4.5 Ok (+120)
Projection: 54% likelihood of this wager hitting, with a $17.70 EV
One motive to wager this: The climate report requires temperatures on this matchup to succeed in the second-highest degree on the slate at 90 levels, which is extremely linked to a rise in offense (and a discount in strikeouts).

Hunter Brown | UNDER 6.5 Ok (-100)
Projection: 56% likelihood of this wager hitting, with a $12.44 EV
One motive to wager this: Brown has skilled some optimistic variance with regard to his strikeouts this 12 months, notching a ten.65 Ok/9, regardless of my projections estimating his true expertise degree to be 10.16. That is a 0.49 Ok/9 discrepancy.

At present’s high YRFI/NRFI bets

Rays @ Mariners | NRFI (-130)
Projection: 58% likelihood of NO RUN with a $2.85 EV

Blue Jays @ Dodgers | YRFI (-125)
Projection: 57% likelihood of RUN with a $2.73 EV

Phillies @ Rangers | NRFI (-130)
Projection: 57% likelihood of NO RUN with a $0.99 EV

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