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Climate in NYC: When extreme storms may develop Thursday

New York Metropolis may see probably extreme climate on Thursday, together with damaging winds, heavy rain and scattered thunderstorms, forward of an anticipated warmth wave subsequent week.

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Heat temperatures and excessive humidity throughout the area will set the stage for thunderstorms set to fireplace this afternoon, threatening the night commute and air journey with damaging wind gusts of 60 mph.

“Be careful for scattered extreme thunderstorms in the present day,” FOX 5 NY’s Audrey Puente stated. “The timing, after about 3 or 4 p.m. till sundown tonight. The first risk will probably be damaging wind. Nonetheless, we may have rounds of heavy rainfall, fast downpours. Additionally, small hail and remoted tornadoes may be attainable inside a few of these storms.”

Here is what you want to know in regards to the probability for extreme climate in New York Metropolis, in addition to a take a look at subsequent week’s potential warmth wave.

Climate in NYC in the present day: What’s new?

What we all know:

“The danger for extreme thunderstorms this afternoon has elevated for northeastern NJ, Decrease Hudson Valley, NYC and southwestern CT,” the Nationwide Climate Service (NWS) stated. “On common we could solely see an enhanced threat day a couple of times a yr.”

Timeline:

Components of the Tri-State space, together with most of New York Metropolis, Lengthy Island and Connecticut, are underneath a “slight threat” for extreme climate. The class is outlined by the NWS as “elevated confidence that some storms will comprise damaging winds, extreme hail, and/or twister potential.”

Severe weather outlook. (NWS)

Extreme climate outlook. (NWS)

In the meantime, most of New Jersey is underneath an “enhanced threat” for extreme climate. That class is outlined as “excessive confidence that a number of storms will comprise damaging winds, extreme hail, and/or tornadoes.”

  • Thursday: A 30% probability of showers and thunderstorms, primarily after 5 p.m. Among the storms could possibly be extreme. Principally sunny, with a excessive close to 86. The NWS says the improved extreme thunderstorm risk falls between 2 p.m. and 10 p.m., however remoted and scattered storms are attainable as early as 1 p.m.

  • Thursday night time: A 30% probability of showers and thunderstorms earlier than 2 a.m. Among the storms could possibly be extreme. Cloudy in the course of the early night, then gradual clearing, with a low round 70.
  • Friday: Sunny, with a excessive close to 81. Storms are anticipated to clear by the morning.

Native perspective:

The principle threats from the storms will probably be damaging wind gusts in extra of 58mph, scattered thunderstorms and heavy rainfall, which may trigger minor flooding in sure areas. 

“Extra organized scattered to quite a few extreme thunderstorm risk, together with bowing traces of thunderstorms and/or multicell clusters attainable between 4 and 10 p.m.,” the NWS stated. 

This graphic shows the threat of damaging wind gusts on Thursday, June 19, 2025.(FOX Weather)

This graphic reveals the specter of damaging wind gusts on Thursday, June 19, 2025. (FOX Climate)

Localized giant hail and flash flood threats are additionally attainable, in addition to an remoted twister.

Extreme thunderstorm watch

No alerts have been posted, however the NWS famous on Wednesday {that a} “extreme thunderstorm watch could also be wanted in the course of the day on Thursday.”

What’s subsequent:

The prime time for a possible warmth wave subsequent week will probably be from Sunday by way of Thursday. Whereas comparatively few areas may very well hit the 100-degree mark, the mix of excessive temperatures and elevated humidity ranges will make it really feel considerably hotter.

  • Sunday: Partly sunny, with a excessive close to 86.
  • Monday: Sunny, with a excessive close to 88.
  • Tuesday: Sunny, with a excessive close to 90.

This graphic shows the forecast heat index on Tuesday, June 24, 2025.(FOX Weather)

This graphic reveals the forecast warmth index on Tuesday, June 24, 2025. (FOX Climate)

  • Wednesday: Sunny, with a excessive close to 88.

New York Metropolis has solely reached the 100-degree threshold 3 times in the course of the month of June. The NWS is anticipated to challenge a variety of heat-related alerts within the coming days, which can embody warmth advisories, excessive warmth watches and excessive warmth warnings, relying on the anticipated severity and period of native circumstances.

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NYC climate radar

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