Inside Jannik Sinner’s return: The stat that ought to scare the remainder of the Tour | ATP Tour

Past The Numbers

Inside Sinner’s return: The stat that ought to scare the remainder of the Tour

Infosys ATP Past The Numbers analyses Sinner’s efficiency in Rome

Could 25, 2025

Jannik Sinner went greater than three months with out match motion earlier than returning on the Internazionali BNL d’Italia. The outcomes have been constructive: the 23-year-old made the ultimate on the Foro Italico for the primary time. However what did we find out about Sinner’s efficiency past wins and losses?

An Infosys ATP Past The Numbers evaluation exhibits that his return efficiency in Rome will increase the alarm for opponents.

Sinner gained greater than 39 per cent of his return video games throughout his six matches within the Italian capital, which is properly above his profession common (27.6%), his common on clay (32.6%) and the 2024 season on clay (33%). Extra impressively, in his first 5 matches of the event, the four-time ATP Masters 1000 champion gained 48 per cent of his return video games.

Sinner On Return

Time Interval	Profitable %
Profession	27.6%
Profession On Clay	32.6%
2024 On Clay	32.6%
2025 Rome	39.3%

However it’s vital to carry out your greatest underneath the brightest highlight, which for Sinner was within the remaining in opposition to Carlos Alcaraz. With the trophy on the road, he didn’t break the Spaniard’s serve as soon as in 10 return video games.

Nonetheless, for his first event after a interval away from competitors, it was a constructive signal for the No. 1 participant within the PIF ATP Rankings. To place the hassle into context, just one participant has gained near the identical fee of return video games on clay this season and that’s Alcaraz, with the very same 39.3 profitable share.

In only one event, Sinner carried out properly sufficient to guide the ATP Tour’s 2025 clay leaderboard in first-serve return factors gained (40.8%) and second-serve return factors gained (57.8%).

His second-serve return efficiency doesn’t essentially stand out in comparison with his typical output. Sinner, who has gained 54 per cent of second-serve return factors in his profession, is thought for his highly effective baseline strokes. The same old second serve — a kick serve that sits up or a slower supply to keep away from a double fault — is sort of a seashore ball for the Italian, who’s at all times able to pounce and take management.

What was spectacular was his first-serve returning. After time away, it could have been comprehensible if it took time for him to get used to not solely placing first deliveries again in play, however doing so properly sufficient to finally win the purpose.

Sinner’s Return Efficiency In Rome

Stat	Profitable %
Return Video games Received	39.3%
First-Serve Return Pts Received	40.8%
Second-Serve Return Pts Received	57.8%
Break Pts Transformed	46.8%

The Rome finalist has gained 35 per cent of first-serve return factors on clay throughout his profession. Meaning his first-serve returning success improved by greater than 15 per cent within the Italian capital.

In 5 of his six matches, Sinner gained greater than 40 per cent of his first-serve return factors. Getting into the ultimate, his win fee was 44 per cent. No participant on file has damaged the 40-per cent mark for his profession on clay.

That doesn’t imply there’s not loads of room for enchancment, although.

“For positive there are some issues like we noticed at this time [that] we’ve got to enhance if we wish to do good in Paris,” Sinner stated. “I’m nearer than anticipated in a method [for] every part. However within the different method, it was good. It was an amazing week for me. Some matches [went] extremely properly, some matches may very well be higher. However that is tennis. It is plenty of ups and downs.”